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Cheltenham Festival

No Chance in The Ryanair Chase? Punters Should Ignore Ascot Chase Defeat And Retain Faith In Waiting Patiently

Wednesday 20th February 2019
Waiting Patiently Was Beaten In The Ascot Chase But Still Has A Chance In The Ryanair Chase
Waiting Patiently Was Beaten In The Ascot Chase But Still Has A Chance In The Ryanair Chase

Prior to the King George meeting at Christmas and Saturday’s Betfair Ascot Chase, Waiting Patiently’s form read 1111111. Seemingly, people have been quick to forget this, and he’s been written off turning up at the 2019 Cheltenham Festival by punters and bookmakers alike.

You can currently get Waiting Patiently at 7/1 for the Ryanair Chase behind the likes of Min at 7/2, Monalee 4/1, and Footpad 6/1. What the formbook and market doesn’t tell you, however, is how good a performance Waiting Patiently has put in. Last season, Waiting Patiently was seen dismissing the likes of Cue Card, Top Notch and Frodon. The King George featured stars like Thistlecrack, Native River, Bristol De Mai and of course, the winner Clan Des Obeaux.

He unseated Bryan Hughes at Kempton during what looked like a typical Waiting Patiently ride. His style is to be held up in rear and finish with a flourish. A small mistake may have cost him that day, but he was travelling just fine, and anything could have happened. No punter or bookmaker had written him off before the Betfair Ascot Chase. He went off 11/8 favourite.
So, let’s treat Cyrname’s win as a fluke. Not that Cyrname is a horse uncapable of winning more races – he surely will.

But, as AP McCoy repeatedly mentioned in his autobiography, if you think you’ve got the fittest horse on the day, you ride him prominent – not hold him up. Harry Cobden mugged the entire field by gambling his horse was the fittest on the day and was duly rewarded.

There’s a point to be noted that Harry Cobden is the only jockey to have beaten Waiting Patiently since he was competing in Novice Hurdle company. An undoubted star in the making and future champion jockey, but perhaps a tad fortunate to have beaten Waiting Patiently twice in a row.

Crane your neck back to the rest of the field and you will see Waiting Patiently getting the better of everyone else. Fox Norton and Politologue are horses rated 166 and 168 respectively. This wasn’t a Tuesday evening at Plumpton. This was the Betfair Ascot Chase.

Trainer, Ruth Jefferson, told Racing TV after Saturday’s second to Cyrname that we will only see Waiting Patiently if we get soft ground at Cheltenham. It would be a real shame to miss out on one of the current greats if we don’t get a sprinkle of rain. Waiting Patiently’s wins have all come on soft or good to soft ground so unless it’s bone dry, we hopefully don’t have to worry about that scenario.

To be mugged by a great ride by a top jockey is forgivable. As should be making a mistake and unseating your rider – once, anyway. Perhaps the drift to 7/1 in the Ryanair is correct? That puts him alongside rivals Frodon and Top Notch – who he’s dispatched before – and only just ahead of Fox Norton – who he beat on Saturday. 

It’s unclear whether Waiting Patiently will even run at Cheltenham at the moment so backing him ante-post is definitely not advised. However, if he does literally turn up then fully expect him to properly turn up.

Cheltenham Betting

Ryanair Chase Betting

Footpad R Walsh / W P Mullins 3 3 3 3 3 10/3 3 3
Monalee Rachael Blackmore / H de Bromhead 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4
Un De Sceaux P Townend / W P Mullins 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5
Road To Respect S W Flanagan / N Meade 11/2 11/2 11/2 11/2 11/2 11/2 11/2 11/2
Frodon Miss B Frost / P F Nicholls 13/2 13/2 13/2 13/2 13/2 13/2 13/2 13/2
Balko Des Flos D F O'Regan / H de Bromhead 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 16
The Storyteller D N Russell / G Elliott 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20
Terrefort D A Jacob / N J Henderson 20 20 20 20 20 22 20 20
Aso Charlie Deutsch / Miss V Williams 33 33 33 33 33 28 33 33
Coney Island M P Walsh / E P Harty 33 33 33 33 33 33 33 33
Charbel D Bass / K C Bailey 33 33 33 33 33 33 33 33
Sub Lieutenant Mr J J Slevin / H de Bromhead 66 66 66 66 66 66 66 66
Each Way Terms 3
1/5
3
1/5
- 3
1/5
4
1/5
3
1/4
3
1/5
3
1/4

Ryanair Chase Betting

BEST ODDS
1. Footpad R Walsh / W P Mullins
10/3
FREE BET ODDS
10/3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
2. Monalee Rachael Blackmore / H de Bromhead
4
FREE BET ODDS
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
3. Un De Sceaux P Townend / W P Mullins
5
FREE BET ODDS
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
4. Road To Respect S W Flanagan / N Meade
11/2
FREE BET ODDS
11/2
11/2
11/2
11/2
11/2
11/2
11/2
5. Frodon Miss B Frost / P F Nicholls
13/2
FREE BET ODDS
13/2
13/2
13/2
13/2
13/2
13/2
13/2
6. Balko Des Flos D F O'Regan / H de Bromhead
16
FREE BET ODDS
16
16
16
16
16
16
16
16
7. The Storyteller D N Russell / G Elliott
20
FREE BET ODDS
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
8. Terrefort D A Jacob / N J Henderson
22
FREE BET ODDS
22
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
9. Aso Charlie Deutsch / Miss V Williams
33
FREE BET ODDS
33
33
33
33
33
33
33
28
10. Coney Island M P Walsh / E P Harty
33
FREE BET ODDS
33
33
33
33
33
33
33
33
11. Charbel D Bass / K C Bailey
33
FREE BET ODDS
33
33
33
33
33
33
33
33
12. Sub Lieutenant Mr J J Slevin / H de Bromhead
66
FREE BET ODDS
66
66
66
66
66
66
66
66
Odds correct as of 11th Apr, 13:27 . Odds are subject to change.
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